Penybont vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Penybont vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Penybont play Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 5 September 2026.
Current form
Penybont: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Colwyn Bay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Penybont scores 1.67 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Colwyn Bay scores 1.33 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Penybont 67%, Colwyn Bay 33%. Over 2.5: Penybont 67%, Colwyn Bay 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Colwyn Bay has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.22. Penybont: 9.2 shots per match, Colwyn Bay: 14.0.
Match halves
Penybont: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.50. Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Penybont: 31-45+ (5 goals). Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 40%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Penybont | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Penybont is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Penybont · 1.4 pts / match - Colwyn Bay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Penybont · 1.33 goals / match - Colwyn Bay
Penybont is 101% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Penybont · 1.67 goals / match - Colwyn Bay
Penybont scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Colwyn Bay scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Penybont
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Penybont is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Penybont · 2 pts / match - Colwyn Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Penybont | Liga | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.31 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 83% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Penybont 1 - 2 - 2 Colwyn Bay. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
When do Penybont and Colwyn Bay play?
Penybont face Colwyn Bay on 5 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Penybont and Colwyn Bay?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Penybont won 1, Colwyn Bay won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Penybont score 1.67 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.33. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Penybont's matches and 33% of Colwyn Bay's.
What form are Penybont and Colwyn Bay in?
Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.