Latvia - VirsligaData current as of 03 September 2026

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Riga play BFC Daugavpils in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 7 September 2026.

Current form

Riga: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. BFC Daugavpils: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Riga scores 3.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. BFC Daugavpils scores 1.18 and concedes 1.14. League average: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Riga 59%, BFC Daugavpils 50%. Over 2.5: Riga 85%, BFC Daugavpils 39%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Riga has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.60. Riga: 17.1 shots per match, BFC Daugavpils: 13.4.

Match halves

Riga: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.48. BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Riga: 76-90+ (19 goals). BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 4-2-1. Average goals 2.43, BTTS 57%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.18)
(5.65)
(12.30)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

RigaBFC Daugavpils
3Goals scored / match1.18
RigaBFC Daugavpils
1Goals conceded / match1.14
RigaBFC Daugavpils
63%Average possession48%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
6.44Shots on target / match4.75
RigaBFC Daugavpils

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.15Shots per match13.36
RigaBFC Daugavpils
6.44Shots on target4.75
RigaBFC Daugavpils
17.5%Shot conversion8.8%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
63%Possession48%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
2.03xG for1.6
RigaBFC Daugavpils
0.97xG against1.56
RigaBFC Daugavpils

Shooting quality

Riga: DominantBFC Daugavpils: Balanced
RigaBFC Daugavpils
Accuracy (shots on target)38%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.470.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Riga is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Riga · 1.4 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils

Riga
WWWDL
Season result split
74% W19% R7% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-5-2
2.41 pts / match · goal difference +54
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-2-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.05Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
BFC Daugavpils
LWWDL
Season result split
36% W25% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-11
1.32 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-5-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Riga is 154% better for: goals scored per match.

3 goals / match - Riga · 1.18 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils

Riga is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Riga · 1.14 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils

Riga scoring profile: very strong

Riga scores in 96% of matches (26 of 27 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).

BFC Daugavpils scoring profile: strong

BFC Daugavpils scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).

81Goals scored (season)33
RigaBFC Daugavpils
27Goals conceded (season)32
RigaBFC Daugavpils
4Average goals in match2.32
RigaBFC Daugavpils
16Goals scored (last 5)4
RigaBFC Daugavpils
8Goals conceded (last 5)3
RigaBFC Daugavpils

How often they score at least...

96%1 goal68%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
89%2 goals32%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
67%3 goals14%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
33%4 goals4%
RigaBFC Daugavpils

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal71%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
26%2 goals21%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
15%3 goals14%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
0%4 goals7%
RigaBFC Daugavpils

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time4%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
11%BTTS in both halves0%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
59%Scored in both halves21%
RigaBFC Daugavpils

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
26%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
80%BTTS - last 520%
RigaBFC Daugavpils

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
37%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
RigaBFC Daugavpils

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
RigaBFC Daugavpils

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Riga is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.15 pts / match - Riga · 1.29 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils

Riga - half-time state
67% leading15% draw19% trailing
BFC Daugavpils - half-time state
25% leading54% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.15Points per match (1st half)1.29
RigaBFC Daugavpils
1.52Goals scored (1st half)0.36
RigaBFC Daugavpils
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
RigaBFC Daugavpils
2.04Average goals (1st half)0.64
RigaBFC Daugavpils
59%Clean sheet before half-time75%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
22%No goal before half-time71%
RigaBFC Daugavpils

After half-time (2nd half)

2.07Points per match (2nd half)1.14
RigaBFC Daugavpils
1.48Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
RigaBFC Daugavpils
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
RigaBFC Daugavpils
1.96Average goals (2nd half)1.68
RigaBFC Daugavpils
67%Clean sheet after half-time36%
RigaBFC Daugavpils
22%No goal after half-time39%
RigaBFC Daugavpils

Riga - second-half results

59% W30% R11% P
58
Half-time points
41
Half-time goals
+27
Goal difference (1st half)
56
Second-half points
+27
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

BFC Daugavpils - second-half results

21% W50% R29% P
36
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Riga - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match1.22.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.02.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
BFC Daugavpils - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.41.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Riga
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
15
5
16-30
18
4
31-45
11
6
46-60
10
4
61-75
19
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.

BFC Daugavpils
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
14
11
46-60
4
5
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.16
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Riga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.94
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.97
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
178%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

BFC Daugavpils

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

RigaLigaBFC Daugavpils
Average goals in match 4.003.00 2.32
Both teams scored 59%55% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 85%56% 39%
Clean sheets 41%24% 29%
Goal before half-time 89%76% 50%
Goal after half-time 81%82% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / match
1.31
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Riga 4 - 2 - 1 BFC Daugavpils. Average goals 2.43, both teams scored in 57% matches.

BFC Daugavpils
0 : 0
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 3
Riga
Riga
4 : 2
BFC Daugavpils
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
0 : 1
Riga FC
Riga FC
1 : 1
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
0 : 1
Riga FC
Riga FC
1 : 2
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils

FAQ

When do Riga and BFC Daugavpils play?

Riga face BFC Daugavpils on 7 September 2026 in Virsliga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Riga and BFC Daugavpils?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Riga won 4, BFC Daugavpils won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?

Riga score 3.00 goals per game on average and BFC Daugavpils 1.18. The Virsliga average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Riga's matches and 50% of BFC Daugavpils's.

What form are Riga and BFC Daugavpils in?

Over the last 5 games Riga have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and BFC Daugavpils 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?

The statistical background for Riga vs BFC Daugavpils — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.