Latvia - VirsligaData current as of 21 October 2026

Super Nova vs Rīgas FS: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Super Nova vs Rīgas FS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Super Nova play Rīgas FS in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 25 October 2026.

Current form

Super Nova: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Rīgas FS: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Super Nova scores 0.97 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Rīgas FS scores 2.45 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.89 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Super Nova 55%, Rīgas FS 45%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 52%, Rīgas FS 58%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Rīgas FS has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.24. Super Nova: 9.9 shots per match, Rīgas FS: 16.6.

Match halves

Super Nova: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.48. Rīgas FS: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.39.

Goals by minute

Super Nova: 76-90+ (10 goals). Rīgas FS: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-7. Average goals 3.43, BTTS 71%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(15.00)
(7.60)
(1.08)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Super NovaRīgas FS
0.97Goals scored / match2.45
Super NovaRīgas FS
1.42Goals conceded / match0.73
Super NovaRīgas FS
45%Average possession61%
Super NovaRīgas FS
3.7Shots on target / match6.18
Super NovaRīgas FS

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.94Shots per match16.61
Super NovaRīgas FS
3.7Shots on target6.18
Super NovaRīgas FS
9.8%Shot conversion14.8%
Super NovaRīgas FS
45%Possession61%
Super NovaRīgas FS
1.24xG for2.01
Super NovaRīgas FS
1.7xG against0.94
Super NovaRīgas FS

Shooting quality

Super Nova: BalancedRīgas FS: Dominant
Super NovaRīgas FS
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rīgas FS is 333% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Super Nova · 2.6 pts / match - Rīgas FS

Super Nova
LLWLL
Season result split
33% W15% D52% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-17
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-9
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Rīgas FS
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
79% W15% D6% L
Season (W-D-L)
26-5-2
2.52 pts / match · goal difference +57
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
14-1-1
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.10Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rīgas FS is 153% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - Super Nova · 2.45 goals / match - Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS is 95% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.42 goals / match - Super Nova · 0.73 goals / match - Rīgas FS

Super Nova scoring profile: mixed

Super Nova scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 52% (17 of 33 matches).

Rīgas FS scoring profile: very strong

Rīgas FS scores in 94% of matches (31 of 33 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).

32Goals scored (season)81
Super NovaRīgas FS
47Goals conceded (season)24
Super NovaRīgas FS
2.39Average goals in match3.18
Super NovaRīgas FS
3Goals scored (last 5)13
Super NovaRīgas FS
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
Super NovaRīgas FS

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal94%
Super NovaRīgas FS
21%2 goals67%
Super NovaRīgas FS
3%3 goals45%
Super NovaRīgas FS
0%4 goals24%
Super NovaRīgas FS

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal48%
Super NovaRīgas FS
42%2 goals15%
Super NovaRīgas FS
12%3 goals9%
Super NovaRīgas FS
9%4 goals0%
Super NovaRīgas FS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time15%
Super NovaRīgas FS
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Super NovaRīgas FS
9%Scored in both halves45%
Super NovaRīgas FS

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Super NovaRīgas FS
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Super NovaRīgas FS
40%BTTS - last 560%
Super NovaRīgas FS

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
Super NovaRīgas FS
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Super NovaRīgas FS
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Super NovaRīgas FS

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Super NovaRīgas FS
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
Super NovaRīgas FS
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Super NovaRīgas FS

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rīgas FS is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - Super Nova · 1.85 pts / match - Rīgas FS

Super Nova - half-time state
18% leading52% draw30% trailing
Rīgas FS - half-time state
52% leading30% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)1.85
Super NovaRīgas FS
0.48Goals scored (1st half)1.06
Super NovaRīgas FS
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Super NovaRīgas FS
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.45
Super NovaRīgas FS
55%Clean sheet before half-time70%
Super NovaRīgas FS
61%No goal before half-time36%
Super NovaRīgas FS

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)2.18
Super NovaRīgas FS
0.48Goals scored (2nd half)1.39
Super NovaRīgas FS
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Super NovaRīgas FS
1.15Average goals (2nd half)1.73
Super NovaRīgas FS
52%Clean sheet after half-time73%
Super NovaRīgas FS
58%No goal after half-time24%
Super NovaRīgas FS

Super Nova - second-half results

36% W18% D45% L
35
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding183%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rīgas FS - second-half results

61% W36% D3% L
61
Half-time points
35
Half-time goals
+22
Goal difference (1st half)
72
Second-half points
+35
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 79%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Super Nova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Rīgas FS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+8
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Super Nova
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
6
7
16-30
6
14
31-45
5
7
46-60
1
5
61-75
10
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Rīgas FS
ScoredConceded
10
2
0-15
12
6
16-30
13
5
31-45
12
4
46-60
14
3
61-75
20
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Super Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Rīgas FS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
196%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
45%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

Super NovaLigaRīgas FS
Average goals in match▼ 2.392.89▲ 3.18
Both teams scored• 55%55%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 52%55%▲ 58%
Clean sheets• 24%25%▲ 52%
Goal before half-time▼ 61%75%▲ 79%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%81%▼ 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.89
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Super Nova 0 - 0 - 7 Rīgas FS. Average goals 3.43, both teams scored in 71% matches.

Rīgas FS
4 : 0
Super Nova
Super Nova
1 : 2
Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS
2 : 0
Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1 : 3
FK Rīgas Futbola skola
FK Rīgas Futbola skola
4 : 1
SK Super Nova
FK Rīgas Futbola skola
2 : 1
SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1 : 2
FK Rīgas Futbola skola

FAQ

When do Super Nova and Rīgas FS play?

Super Nova face Rīgas FS on 25 October 2026 in Virsliga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Rīgas FS?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 0, Rīgas FS won 7 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?

Super Nova score 0.97 goals per game on average and Rīgas FS 2.45. The Virsliga average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Super Nova's matches and 45% of Rīgas FS's.

What form are Super Nova and Rīgas FS in?

Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Rīgas FS 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.