Estonia - MeistriliigaA. Le Coq ArenaData current as of 15 October 2026

Tallinna FC Flora vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tallinna FC Flora vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tallinna FC Flora play Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 15 October 2026. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena.

Current form

Tallinna FC Flora: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.97 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.73 and concedes 0.70. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tallinna FC Flora 57%, Tallinna FC Levadia 60%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Flora 80%, Tallinna FC Levadia 70%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.42 vs 1.93. Tallinna FC Flora: 15.7 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 20.1.

Match halves

Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.10. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.43.

Goals by minute

Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (13 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 57%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.81)
(4.30)
(1.54)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
1.97Goals scored / match2.73
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
1.37Goals conceded / match0.7
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
58%Average possession59%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
5.17Shots on target / match7.47
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.67Shots per match20.13
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
5.17Shots on target7.47
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
12.6%Shot conversion13.6%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
58%Possession59%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
1.93xG for2.42
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
1.46xG against1.05
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Flora: DominantTallinna FC Levadia: Dominant
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
Accuracy (shots on target)33%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 2.6 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Tallinna FC Flora
WDWWL
Season result split
60% W3% D37% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-1-11
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-0-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Tallinna FC Levadia
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
77% W20% D3% L
Season (W-D-L)
23-6-1
2.50 pts / match · goal difference +61
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
12-3-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 2.34Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 39% better for: goals scored per match.

1.97 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 2.73 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Tallinna FC Levadia is 96% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.37 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 0.7 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

Tallinna FC Levadia scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (30 of 30 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).

59Goals scored (season)82
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
41Goals conceded (season)21
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
3.33Average goals in match3.43
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
10Goals scored (last 5)16
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
9Goals conceded (last 5)1
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal100%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
60%2 goals73%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
30%3 goals47%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
10%4 goals27%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal60%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
47%2 goals10%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
17%3 goals0%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
3%4 goals0%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
Tallinna FC Flora - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 30 matches
60%
Tallinna FC Levadia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 30 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time20%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
33%Scored in both halves60%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
80%BTTS - last 520%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time97%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time70%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 2.03 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia

Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
33% leading40% draw27% trailing
Tallinna FC Levadia - half-time state
57% leading33% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)2.03
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
0.87Goals scored (1st half)1.3
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.63
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
50%Clean sheet before half-time70%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
47%No goal before half-time30%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per match (2nd half)2.2
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
1.1Goals scored (2nd half)1.43
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.37
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
1.77Average goals (2nd half)1.8
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
60%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia
33%No goal after half-time10%
Tallinna FC FloraTallinna FC Levadia

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

53% W20% D27% L
42
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding182%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results

63% W30% D7% L
61
Half-time points
39
Half-time goals
+29
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+32
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Tallinna FC Levadia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.40
Goals scored / match1.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+9+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
10
8
16-30
10
9
31-45
10
6
46-60
13
6
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Tallinna FC Levadia
ScoredConceded
11
3
0-15
17
3
16-30
11
4
31-45
10
3
46-60
14
3
61-75
19
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
87%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Tallinna FC Levadia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
205%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
40%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC FloraLigaTallinna FC Levadia
Average goals in match▲ 3.333.10▲ 3.43
Both teams scored• 57%57%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%64%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▲ 30%23%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time• 77%76%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time• 87%88%▲ 97%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Tallinna FC Flora 3 - 1 - 3 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 57% matches.

Tallinna FC Levadia
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
1 : 3
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
4 : 0
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 3
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
1 : 3
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
1 : 0
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
0 : 0
Tallinna FC Flora

FAQ

When do Tallinna FC Flora and Tallinna FC Levadia play?

Tallinna FC Flora face Tallinna FC Levadia on 15 October 2026 in Meistriliiga at A. Le Coq Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Flora and Tallinna FC Levadia?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Flora won 3, Tallinna FC Levadia won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Flora vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

Tallinna FC Flora score 1.97 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.73. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Tallinna FC Flora's matches and 60% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.

What form are Tallinna FC Flora and Tallinna FC Levadia in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Flora have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Flora vs Tallinna FC Levadia?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.