Estonia - MeistriliigaA. Le Coq ArenaData current as of 24 October 2026

Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tammeka: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tammeka: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tallinna FC Levadia play Tammeka in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 27 October 2026. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena.

Current form

Tallinna FC Levadia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Tammeka: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.72 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. Tammeka scores 1.42 and concedes 1.58. League average: 3.13 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tallinna FC Levadia 59%, Tammeka 48%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Levadia 69%, Tammeka 58%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.39 vs 1.57. Tallinna FC Levadia: 19.8 shots per match, Tammeka: 13.1.

Match halves

Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.44. Tammeka: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Tallinna FC Levadia: 76-90+ (19 goals). Tammeka: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 6-1-0. Average goals 3.71, BTTS 43%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.14)
(6.65)
(11.50)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
2.72Goals scored / match1.42
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
0.69Goals conceded / match1.58
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
59%Average possession50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
7.28Shots on target / match4.88
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

19.75Shots per match13.06
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
7.28Shots on target4.88
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
13.8%Shot conversion10.9%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
59%Possession50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
2.39xG for1.57
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
1.03xG against1.62
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Levadia: DominantTammeka: Balanced
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 117% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.2 pts / match - Tammeka

Tallinna FC Levadia
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
78% W19% D3% L
Season (W-D-L)
25-6-1
2.53 pts / match · goal difference +65
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-3-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 0.86BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Tammeka
LWLLW
Season result split
48% W6% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-2-15
1.52 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-1-9
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 92% better for: goals scored per match.

2.72 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.42 goals / match - Tammeka

Tallinna FC Levadia is 129% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.69 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.58 goals / match - Tammeka

Tallinna FC Levadia scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (32 of 32 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).

Tammeka scoring profile: strong

Tammeka scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 41% (13 of 32 matches).

87Goals scored (season)47
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
22Goals conceded (season)52
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
3.41Average goals in match3
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
13Goals scored (last 5)11
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
2Goals conceded (last 5)8
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal73%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
75%2 goals39%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
47%3 goals21%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
25%4 goals6%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal70%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
9%2 goals39%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
0%3 goals24%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
0%4 goals12%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
Tallinna FC Levadia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 32 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time33%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
63%Scored in both halves27%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
40%BTTS - last 560%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time58%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

2nd half

97%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
69%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 92% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.03 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.06 pts / match - Tammeka

Tallinna FC Levadia - half-time state
56% leading34% draw9% trailing
Tammeka - half-time state
21% leading42% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.03Points per match (1st half)1.06
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
1.28Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
0.34Goals conceded (1st half)1.09
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.73
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
69%Clean sheet before half-time36%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
28%No goal before half-time55%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

After half-time (2nd half)

2.25Points per match (2nd half)1.64
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
1.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
0.34Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
1.78Average goals (2nd half)1.27
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
69%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
9%No goal after half-time45%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results

66% W28% D6% L
65
Half-time points
41
Half-time goals
+30
Goal difference (1st half)
72
Second-half points
+35
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tammeka - second-half results

42% W36% D21% L
35
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding229%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tallinna FC Levadia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.40
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+5+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Tammeka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.4
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-2+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tallinna FC Levadia
ScoredConceded
12
4
0-15
18
3
16-30
11
4
31-45
11
3
46-60
16
3
61-75
19
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.

Tammeka
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
10
16
16-30
11
14
31-45
6
2
46-60
6
6
61-75
14
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.21
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tallinna FC Levadia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Tammeka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC LevadiaLigaTammeka
Average goals in match▲ 3.413.13▼ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 59%57%▼ 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 69%64%▼ 58%
Clean sheets▲ 41%23%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▲ 81%77%• 76%
Goal after half-time▲ 97%88%▼ 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Tallinna FC Levadia 6 - 1 - 0 Tammeka. Average goals 3.71, both teams scored in 43% matches.

Tallinna FC Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka
Tammeka
0 : 1
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tammeka
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
3 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu
2 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
4 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu
2 : 3
Tallinna FC Levadia

FAQ

When do Tallinna FC Levadia and Tammeka play?

Tallinna FC Levadia face Tammeka on 27 October 2026 in Meistriliiga at A. Le Coq Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Levadia and Tammeka?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Levadia won 6, Tammeka won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tammeka?

Tallinna FC Levadia score 2.72 goals per game on average and Tammeka 1.42. The Meistriliiga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 48% of Tammeka's.

What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Tammeka in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Tammeka 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tammeka?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.