The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics
The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
The New Saints played Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 28 August 2026. Venue: Park Hall Stadium. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
The New Saints: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match. Colwyn Bay: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
The New Saints scores 2.00 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Colwyn Bay scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: The New Saints 0%, Colwyn Bay 25%. Over 2.5: The New Saints 25%, Colwyn Bay 50%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
The New Saints has higher xG: 2.63 vs 1.54. The New Saints: 21.0 shots per match, Colwyn Bay: 15.5.
Match halves
The New Saints: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50. Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
The New Saints: 61-75 (4 goals). Colwyn Bay: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The New Saints are clear favourites: they have won 4 of their last five matches and remain unbeaten, while Colwyn Bay have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat over the same period. The hosts have won both home matches, keeping clean sheets in each, with an average xG of 2.81 and just 0.86 xG conceded to opponents. Colwyn Bay have failed to win away, concede an average of 2.5 goals and have kept no clean sheets. The New Saints’ superiority is also evident in chance creation: they average 23 shots and 10 shots on target per match, compared with 15.5 and 2.5 for the visitors. The visitors have failed to score in 50% of their away matches, so the hosts’ solid defence should control the game and lead them to victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The New Saints have yet to concede a goal this season, keeping a clean sheet in 100% of their matches, while they have also conceded an average of 0.0 goals across their last five games. Colwyn Bay score only 1.0 goal per match on average and have failed to find the net in as many as 50% of their league appearances. The hosts also boast very strong current defensive metrics: opponents’ xG against them stands at just 0.76, compared with the 1.37 xG created by Colwyn Bay. The New Saints should, in turn, be able to exploit the visitors’ defensive weakness, as Colwyn Bay concede an average of 2.5 goals per match and have recorded no clean sheets. The hosts’ 0% BTTS rate, together with Colwyn Bay’s 20% BTTS rate across their last five matches, clearly supports a scenario in which at least one team—most notably the visitors—fails to score. Therefore, the recommended market is BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team will not score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The New Saints have averaged 1.8 goals scored over their last 5 matches and have conceded none, clearly limiting Colwyn Bay’s attacking potential. The visitors have averaged just 1.0 goal during this period, with average xG of 1.37 compared to only 0.76 xG allowed by the hosts. Although The New Saints create plenty of chances, as confirmed by their high 2.63 xG over the last 5 matches, their games went over 2.5 goals in only 20% of cases. Colwyn Bay recorded Over 2.5 goals in 40% of their last 5 matches; however, the hosts’ defensive solidity points towards a scenario with no more than three goals. The Under 3.5 goals line therefore has the strongest support, combining The New Saints’ tight defense with the visitors’ limited finishing efficiency.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The New Saints have won both of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding none, while Colwyn Bay concede an average of 2.5 goals away from home. The hosts led at the break in both home fixtures, scoring an average of 1.5 goals before half-time without conceding. Colwyn Bay have not won any away match, and were trailing at half-time in half of those games. This is also supported by their current form: The New Saints have won 4 of their last 5 matches and kept a clean sheet in each, whereas the visitors have won only 2 of 5. The most likely scenario is therefore a 1/1 HT/FT outcome, with the hosts leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| The New Saints | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 19% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
The New Saints is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2.5 pts / match - The New Saints · 1.75 pts / match - Colwyn Bay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
The New Saints is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - The New Saints · 1.25 goals / match - Colwyn Bay
The New Saints scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Colwyn Bay scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 100% (4 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - The New Saints
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colwyn Bay is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - The New Saints · 2.25 pts / match - Colwyn Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
The New Saints - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.25 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| The New Saints | Liga | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 41% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): The New Saints 2 - 1 - 1 Colwyn Bay. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished The New Saints 5:1 Colwyn Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between The New Saints and Colwyn Bay?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches The New Saints won 2, Colwyn Bay won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
The New Saints score 2.00 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.25. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 0% of The New Saints's matches and 25% of Colwyn Bay's.
What form are The New Saints and Colwyn Bay in?
Over the last 5 games The New Saints have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.