Latvia - VirsligaTukuma pilsētas stadionsData current as of 19 September 2026

Tukums vs Grobiņa: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tukums vs Grobiņa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tukums play Grobiņa in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Tukuma pilsētas stadions.

Current form

Tukums: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Grobiņa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tukums scores 1.43 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Grobiņa scores 0.67 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.90 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tukums 80%, Grobiņa 37%. Over 2.5: Tukums 73%, Grobiņa 30%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Tukums has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.21. Tukums: 11.5 shots per match, Grobiņa: 9.9.

Match halves

Tukums: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.73. Grobiņa: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.37.

Goals by minute

Tukums: 76-90+ (14 goals). Grobiņa: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-3. Average goals 2.86, BTTS 57%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.43Goals scored / match0.67
TukumsGrobiņa
2Goals conceded / match1.7
TukumsGrobiņa
43%Average possession41%
TukumsGrobiņa
4.47Shots on target / match3.3
TukumsGrobiņa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.47Shots per match9.9
TukumsGrobiņa
4.47Shots on target3.3
TukumsGrobiņa
12.5%Shot conversion6.7%
TukumsGrobiņa
43%Possession41%
TukumsGrobiņa
1.38xG for1.21
TukumsGrobiņa
1.75xG against1.73
TukumsGrobiņa

Shooting quality

Tukums: Counter-attackingGrobiņa: Balanced
TukumsGrobiņa
Accuracy (shots on target)39%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Grobiņa is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Tukums · 0.8 pts / match - Grobiņa

Tukums
LLLWL
Season result split
17% W27% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-8-17
0.77 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-6
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Grobiņa
LLWLD
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-10-15
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-9
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 2.22BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tukums is 113% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Tukums · 0.67 goals / match - Grobiņa

Grobiņa is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Tukums · 1.7 goals / match - Grobiņa

Tukums scoring profile: very strong

Tukums scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).

Grobiņa scoring profile: very strong

Grobiņa scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 3% (1 of 30 matches).

43Goals scored (season)20
TukumsGrobiņa
60Goals conceded (season)51
TukumsGrobiņa
3.43Average goals in match2.37
TukumsGrobiņa
3Goals scored (last 5)3
TukumsGrobiņa
11Goals conceded (last 5)10
TukumsGrobiņa

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal50%
TukumsGrobiņa
30%2 goals10%
TukumsGrobiņa
13%3 goals7%
TukumsGrobiņa
7%4 goals0%
TukumsGrobiņa

How often they concede at least...

97%1 goal77%
TukumsGrobiņa
60%2 goals43%
TukumsGrobiņa
37%3 goals23%
TukumsGrobiņa
7%4 goals10%
TukumsGrobiņa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

37%BTTS at half-time10%
TukumsGrobiņa
7%BTTS in both halves3%
TukumsGrobiņa
23%Scored in both halves7%
TukumsGrobiņa

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
TukumsGrobiņa
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
TukumsGrobiņa
40%BTTS - last 540%
TukumsGrobiņa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
TukumsGrobiņa
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
TukumsGrobiņa
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
TukumsGrobiņa

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
TukumsGrobiņa
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
TukumsGrobiņa
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
TukumsGrobiņa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tukums - half-time state
20% leading37% draw43% trailing
Grobiņa - half-time state
13% leading53% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.97Points per match (1st half)0.93
TukumsGrobiņa
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.3
TukumsGrobiņa
0.97Goals conceded (1st half)0.77
TukumsGrobiņa
1.67Average goals (1st half)1.07
TukumsGrobiņa
30%Clean sheet before half-time57%
TukumsGrobiņa
47%No goal before half-time77%
TukumsGrobiņa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per match (2nd half)0.8
TukumsGrobiņa
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.37
TukumsGrobiņa
1.03Goals conceded (2nd half)0.93
TukumsGrobiņa
1.77Average goals (2nd half)1.3
TukumsGrobiņa
30%Clean sheet after half-time40%
TukumsGrobiņa
47%No goal after half-time67%
TukumsGrobiņa

Tukums - second-half results

27% W30% D43% L
29
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Grobiņa - second-half results

13% W40% D47% L
28
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tukums - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.60
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.6
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Grobiņa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tukums
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
6
12
16-30
11
10
31-45
4
9
46-60
4
13
61-75
14
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Grobiņa
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
14
31-45
2
12
46-60
4
4
61-75
5
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tukums

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
157%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Grobiņa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+13.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
53%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

TukumsLigaGrobiņa
Average goals in match 3.432.90 2.37
Both teams scored 80%54% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 73%54% 30%
Clean sheets 3%25% 23%
Goal before half-time 87%73% 57%
Goal after half-time 90%82% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.90
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Tukums 2 - 2 - 3 Grobiņa. Average goals 2.86, both teams scored in 57% matches.

Grobiņa
3 : 1
Tukums
Grobiņa
3 : 3
Tukums
Tukums
1 : 1
Grobiņa
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
1 : 0
FK Tukums 2000
FK Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
2 : 0
FK Tukums 2000
FK Tukums 2000
2 : 0
Grobinas Sporta Centrs

FAQ

When do Tukums and Grobiņa play?

Tukums face Grobiņa on 20 September 2026 in Virsliga at Tukuma pilsētas stadions. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tukums and Grobiņa?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Tukums won 2, Grobiņa won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tukums vs Grobiņa?

Tukums score 1.43 goals per game on average and Grobiņa 0.67. The Virsliga average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Tukums's matches and 37% of Grobiņa's.

What form are Tukums and Grobiņa in?

Over the last 5 games Tukums have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Grobiņa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums vs Grobiņa?

The statistical background for Tukums vs Grobiņa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.