Varaždin vs Istra 1961: match statistics
Varaždin vs Istra 1961: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varaždin played Istra 1961 in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 4 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Anđelko Herjavec. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Varaždin: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Istra 1961: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varaždin scores 2.20 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Istra 1961 scores 2.20 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varaždin 60%, Istra 1961 80%. Over 2.5: Varaždin 60%, Istra 1961 100%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Istra 1961 has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.34. Varaždin: 12.0 shots per match, Istra 1961: 13.4.
Match halves
Varaždin: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.00. Istra 1961: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Varaždin: 16-30 (4 goals). Istra 1961: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Varaždin are in a significantly better run of form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Istra 1961 have collected just 5 points and suffered 2 defeats over the same period. The hosts have won all 3 of their home games so far, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding just 0.33 goals per match, while keeping a clean sheet in 67% of those fixtures. Istra also average 2 goals away from home, but have failed to win either of their 2 matches, concede as many as 2.5 goals per game and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Varaždin’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created: Istra’s opponents average 1.94 xG away from home, compared with the 1.20 xG generated by the hosts, indicating the visitors’ vulnerability to allowing numerous chances. Both teams score regularly, but the significantly more solid defence and perfect home record strongly favour a Varaždin win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear: BTTS occurred in 67% of Varaždin’s matches and in all of Istra 1961’s games, compared with a league average of 55%. Both teams score regularly, averaging 2.33 and 2.00 goals respectively, while in their last five matches each side scored 2.2 goals per game. Istra has kept no clean sheets and concedes an average of 2.5 goals, whereas Varaždin allows opponents 1.67 goals per match. The home side creates more quality chances, with an xG of 1.92 and 6.0 shots on target per game, but Istra has produced an xG of 1.54 in its last five outings, giving it a solid basis to score. The high Over 2.5 Goals rates of 100% for both teams further support the BTTS - Yes scenario in such an open match.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile clearly favors goals: both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in 100% of their matches so far this season, with at least one goal scored in every game. Varaždin create chances worth an average of 1.92 xG at home and register 6.0 shots on target per match, while Istra concede an average of 2.50 goals and 1.94 xG away from home. The visitors also offer an attacking threat, averaging 2.00 goals scored away, while the hosts allow opponents 1.50 xG. In their last five matches, both teams have averaged 2.2 goals scored, while Istra’s matches during this period finished Over 2.5 goals in 100% of cases. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.07 goals provides a very substantial safety margin relative to this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Varaždin have the clearer attacking potential: their average xG stands at 1.92 compared with Istra’s 0.99, while the hosts average 16 shots and 6 on target, against 9 and 2.5 respectively for the visitors. Istra concede an average of 2.50 goals per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet, which supports the expectation that Varaždin can exploit home advantage before half-time. The hosts led at the break in 2 of their 3 league matches, and have not conceded a single first-half goal in their last 5 games, while the visitors have conceded an average of 1.2 goals during that period. Varaždin’s eventual victory is further supported by their current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, whereas Istra have won just once. Therefore, the strongest scenario is for the hosts to lead at half-time and secure victory at full-time: 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varaždin | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Varaždin is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Varaždin · 1 pts / match - Istra 1961
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varaždin is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Varaždin · 2 goals / match - Istra 1961
Varaždin scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Istra 1961 scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varaždin
Over / Under - Istra 1961
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varaždin is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.2 pts / match - Varaždin · 1.4 pts / match - Istra 1961
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varaždin
Istra 1961
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Varaždin | Liga | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.20 | 3.29 | ▲ 4.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Varaždin 1 - 0 - 3 Istra 1961. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varaždin vs Istra 1961?
The Prva HNL match finished Varaždin 0:0 Istra 1961. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Varaždin and Istra 1961?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 1, Istra 1961 won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Istra 1961?
Varaždin score 2.20 goals per game on average and Istra 1961 2.20. The Prva HNL average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Varaždin's matches and 80% of Istra 1961's.
What form are Varaždin and Istra 1961 in?
Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Istra 1961 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Istra 1961?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.