Varaždin vs Osijek: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Varaždin vs Osijek: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varaždin play Osijek in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Anđelko Herjavec.
Current form
Varaždin: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Osijek: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varaždin scores 1.86 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Osijek scores 2.43 and concedes 1.57. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varaždin 57%, Osijek 43%. Over 2.5: Varaždin 57%, Osijek 71%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Osijek has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.59. Varaždin: 14.4 shots per match, Osijek: 18.6.
Match halves
Varaždin: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00. Osijek: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Varaždin: 16-30 (4 goals). Osijek: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 1.25, BTTS 25%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varaždin | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Osijek is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Varaždin · 1.8 pts / match - Osijek
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Osijek is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Varaždin · 2.43 goals / match - Osijek
Varaždin is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Varaždin · 1.57 goals / match - Osijek
Varaždin scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Osijek scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varaždin
Over / Under - Osijek
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Osijek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varaždin
Osijek
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Varaždin | Liga | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.86 | 3.24 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 26% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Varaždin 2 - 2 - 0 Osijek. Average goals 1.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
When do Varaždin and Osijek play?
Varaždin face Osijek on 19 September 2026 in Prva HNL at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Varaždin and Osijek?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 2, Osijek won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Osijek?
Varaždin score 1.86 goals per game on average and Osijek 2.43. The Prva HNL average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Varaždin's matches and 43% of Osijek's.
What form are Varaždin and Osijek in?
Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Osijek 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Osijek?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


