Varaždin vs Osijek: match statistics
Varaždin vs Osijek: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varaždin played Osijek in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 19 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Anđelko Herjavec. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Varaždin: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Osijek: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varaždin scores 1.86 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Osijek scores 2.43 and concedes 1.57. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varaždin 57%, Osijek 43%. Over 2.5: Varaždin 57%, Osijek 71%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Osijek has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.59. Varaždin: 14.4 shots per match, Osijek: 18.6.
Match halves
Varaždin: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00. Osijek: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Varaždin: 16-30 (4 goals). Osijek: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 1.25, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Varaždin make excellent use of home advantage: they have won 75% of their home matches, remain unbeaten there, concede just 0.25 goals per game on average, and keep a clean sheet in 75% of their home appearances. Osijek possess greater attacking strength away from home, averaging 17 shots, 6.25 shots on target, and 2.25 goals per game, but their defence allows as many as 2.25 goals per match. The hosts have also been more consistent over their last five games, averaging 1.6 points compared with Osijek’s 1.2, while the visitors have conceded 13 goals during that period. Osijek’s away xG stands at 1.79, but Varaždin generate 1.44 xG at home and should be able to exploit their opponents’ pronounced defensive weaknesses. Home advantage and significantly better defensive organisation point to a narrow Varaždin victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Varaždin have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their league matches and concede just 0.67 goals per game on average, significantly limiting Osijek’s chances of scoring. The hosts have seen BTTS - Yes land in only 33% of their matches, well below the league average of 53%, while in their last five fixtures this market has landed in 40% of cases. Osijek score 2.25 goals per game on average over the season, but their current output stands at 1.8 goals with an xG of 1.61, while Varaždin’s defence has conceded an average of just 1.0 goal across their last five matches. The hosts’ attack looks very strong, averaging 2.67 goals and an xG of 2.35 per game, whereas Osijek concede 2.25 goals on average and as many as 2.6 across their last five outings. Therefore, the most realistic scenario is a Varaždin win to nil. BTTS - No holds a slight edge, as the hosts’ high probability of scoring is not enough to outweigh the similarly strong likelihood of Osijek failing to score against a solid defence.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Varaždin average 2.67 goals scored at home and create chances worth 2.35 xG, while Osijek concede as many as 2.25 goals per away match. The visitors’ current defensive form is particularly significant: they have conceded 13 goals in their last 5 matches, or 2.6 per game, while the hosts have scored 9 times during the same period. Osijek also have attacking arguments, averaging 2.25 goals scored and 1.79 xG, although Varaždin concede only 0.67 goals per home match and have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their appearances. At least 2 goals have been scored in 67% of Varaždin’s matches and in all of Osijek’s games, making Over 1.5 clearly the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Varaždin have a clear quality advantage: they have won 100% of their matches so far, scoring an average of 2.67 goals and conceding just 0.67, while Osijek concede an average of 2.25 goals away from home. The hosts were leading at the break in 2 of their 3 matches and have not conceded a single first-half goal, whereas Osijek were trailing at half-time in 50% of their appearances. Varaždin’s attacking potential is further confirmed by an xG of 2.35 and an average of 20.67 shots per match, compared with Osijek’s 1.73 xG conceded. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.33 goals, while the visitors manage just 0.50 and concede 1.25, strengthening the scenario of maintaining or extending the lead. Recent form also favours Varaždin: their opponents have lost 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 2.6 goals during that period.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varaždin | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Osijek is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Varaždin · 1.8 pts / match - Osijek
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Osijek is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Varaždin · 2.43 goals / match - Osijek
Varaždin is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Varaždin · 1.57 goals / match - Osijek
Varaždin scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Osijek scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varaždin
Over / Under - Osijek
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Osijek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varaždin
Osijek
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Varaždin | Liga | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.86 | 3.26 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 26% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Varaždin 2 - 2 - 0 Osijek. Average goals 1.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varaždin vs Osijek?
The Prva HNL match finished Varaždin 0:0 Osijek. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Varaždin and Osijek?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 2, Osijek won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Osijek?
Varaždin score 1.86 goals per game on average and Osijek 2.43. The Prva HNL average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Varaždin's matches and 43% of Osijek's.
What form are Varaždin and Osijek in?
Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Osijek 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Osijek?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.