York9 FC vs Cavalry FC: match statistics
York9 FC vs Cavalry FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
York9 FC played Cavalry FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
York9 FC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Cavalry FC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
York9 FC scores 1.57 and concedes 2.30 goals per match. Cavalry FC scores 2.08 and concedes 0.67. League average: 3.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: York9 FC 83%, Cavalry FC 50%. Over 2.5: York9 FC 65%, Cavalry FC 50%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Cavalry FC has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.31. York9 FC: 12.3 shots per match, Cavalry FC: 14.7.
Match halves
York9 FC: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.78. Cavalry FC: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.42.
Goals by minute
York9 FC: 46-60 (10 goals). Cavalry FC: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 8 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-5. Average goals 3.63, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cavalry FC lead the table with 16 wins from 23 matches, while seventh-placed York9 FC have won 5 times. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding just 2 goals in that run; the hosts have managed only 1 win over the same period and conceded as many as 15 goals. The defensive disparity is particularly significant: York9 concede an average of 2.45 goals per match at home, while Cavalry concede just 0.55 away from home and keep a clean sheet in 45% of matches. York9 do average more goals at home, 2.18 compared with the visitors' 1.64 away, but their home xG is 1.20, while the xG conceded by the hosts stands at 2.08. Cavalry's stronger defence, combined with their 64% away win rate compared with York9's 36% home win rate, points to an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
York9 score an average of 2.5 goals at home and have not failed to score there, although Cavalry concede just 0.55 goals per away match. The visitors average 1.64 goals scored away from home and have netted an average of 2.4 goals over their last 5 matches, giving them a genuine chance of finding the net. York9’s recent defensive form is particularly significant: they conceded an average of 3.0 goals across 5 matches, with both teams scoring in every one of them. The main risk to the BTTS - Yes pick is Cavalry’s defence, which has conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 appearances, while keeping a clean sheet in 45% of matches this season. Despite this, the hosts’ scoring record and York9’s recent defensive struggles suggest that both teams will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
York9 score an average of 2.5 goals at home and generate 1.87 xG, but Cavalry concede just 0.55 goals per away match, so fully extrapolating the hosts’ attacking output to this fixture would be overly optimistic. The visitors average 1.64 goals away from home, while York9 have conceded an average of 3.0 goals across their last 5 matches, increasing the likelihood that Cavalry will score. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 92% of York9’s home matches, although the figure is only 55% in Cavalry’s away games; this disparity supports a more cautious projection of 2.85 total goals. The Over 1.5 goals line offers the strongest edge, as even against a solid Cavalry defence, just two goals are enough, while the data for the 2.5-goal line are far less aligned: 58% and 36%, respectively.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Cavalry were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches and did not concede a single first-half goal in those games. York9 do have stronger full-season statistics, averaging 2.5 goals compared with Cavalry’s 1.64, but their recent form weakens the case for a home win. York9 have won only once in their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 3 goals, while Cavalry won 4 times and conceded just 0.4 goals per match. The visitors have recently averaged 2 goals after the break, while the hosts have conceded 1.2, pointing to a scenario in which Cavalry turn around a closely contested match that is level at half-time and go on to win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| York9 FC | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cavalry FC is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - York9 FC · 2 pts / match - Cavalry FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cavalry FC is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - York9 FC · 2.08 goals / match - Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC is 243% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.3 goals / match - York9 FC · 0.67 goals / match - Cavalry FC
York9 FC scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Cavalry FC keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 matches).
Cavalry FC scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while York9 FC keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - York9 FC
Over / Under - Cavalry FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cavalry FC is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - York9 FC · 1.71 pts / match - Cavalry FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
York9 FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cavalry FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
York9 FC
Cavalry FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| York9 FC | Liga | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.87 | 3.05 | ▼ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 20% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 64% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 82% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (8): York9 FC 2 - 1 - 5 Cavalry FC. Average goals 3.63, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of York9 FC vs Cavalry FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished York9 FC 3:1 Cavalry FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between York9 FC and Cavalry FC?
In the last 8 head-to-head matches York9 FC won 2, Cavalry FC won 5 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.63 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before York9 FC vs Cavalry FC?
York9 FC score 1.57 goals per game on average and Cavalry FC 2.08. The Canadian Premier League average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 83% of York9 FC's matches and 50% of Cavalry FC's.
What form are York9 FC and Cavalry FC in?
Over the last 5 games York9 FC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Cavalry FC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for York9 FC vs Cavalry FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.